Strategy
/Users/heikki/Documents/polymarket_data/STRATEGY_SPEC_E_LATE_SNIPER_0xee65685de0.md
mechanism statement: [DATA] `/Users/heikki/Documents/polymarket_data/WALLET_DEEP_RECON_archetypeE_crossvalidated.md` identifies this wallet as a late-window confirmation sniper in crypto up/down markets: 100% BUY, zero sells, zero SPLIT/MERGE, and very large concentration in near-certain outcome prices close to market close. [DATA] Current `winner_id.db.metrics` facts for address `0xee65685de42f8de9a03b4c53ee77d56a20d2cfc9`: `net_cashflo entry rules: [DATA] Required market family: `crypto up/down`. [LOGIC] Enter only on public markets that satisfy all of the following: - Market family is crypto up/down or equivalent binary crypto threshold/up-down market. - Time to close is within the `final 60 seconds`. - Side is `BUY only`. - The candidate outcome is the apparent high-probability/confirmation side. - The observed `price band` is `0.95 <= price <= 0.995`. - Book exit rules: [LOGIC] Paper exit is hold-to-resolution or settlement mark. No discretionary exit and no resale logic in the first paper bot. [LOGIC] If a simulated BUY is entered but the market-data adapter cannot later resolve the outcome, mark the row unresolved and exclude it from pass/fail until settlement is available. [LOGIC] No live order placement, signer, deposit, or inventory management is allowed. sizing: [LOGIC] Paper bankroll: `paper_bankroll_usd=10000`. [LOGIC] Minimum paper notional per fillable opportunity: `min_trade_notional_usd=25`. [LOGIC] Maximum paper notional per market: `max_trade_notional_usd=250`. [LOGIC] Maximum total unresolved paper exposure: `max_total_open_notional_usd=1500`. [LOGIC] Size is capped by book depth after a 50% depth haircut and by remaining total exposure. Do not compound during the f copy-mode: [LOGIC] D6 copy-mode decision: independent rule implementation. [LOGIC] Fill mirroring is not required for the first paper bot because market family, final 60 seconds timing, high price band, side, and cost-adjusted edge are publicly observable. placement: [LOGIC] D11 placement: VPS paper daemon. [LOGIC] Paper-only. No live CLOB/signer/orders, no private key, no deposits, no funds, no credential change, and no customer-facing action. [LOGIC] The daemon should write simulated scans/fills/settlements to `wid_ops.db.paper_results`.